Prediction of Toby Samuel vs Sergey Fomin at Manama 2 Challenger 11-28-25

• How does Toby Samuel perform on his second serve? He wins 42.97% of points recently, slightly edge over by Sergey Fomin's 44.02%.
• Who excels in second serve returns? Sergey Fomin outperforms, winning 46.43% of opponent's second serve points compared to Toby Samuel's 44.67%.
• In terms of first serve returns, Toby Samuel wins 28.75% of points, barely surpassing Sergey Fomin's 28.11%.
• Under pressure, Toby Samuel saves 49.30% of breakpoints, while Sergey Fomin saves 48.58%.
• Which player has a higher overall win rate this past year? Toby Samuel has a 77.14% win rate compared to Sergey Fomin's 67.03%.
• Considering surface preferences, Toby Samuel prefers Hard courts with a 79% win rate, whereas Sergey Fomin thrives on Clay with the same win percentage.
• Reflecting on tournament levels, Toby Samuel has an 80% win rate at the Futures/Satellites/ITF $10K level, outshining Sergey Fomin's 71.21% at the same level.
• Toby Samuel competes against opponents ranked on average 389.33, while Sergey Fomin's opponents average a rank of 434.05.
• In deciding sets, Sergey Fomin excels with a 64% win rate, whereas Toby Samuel holds at 46%.
• Break point conversion is key; Sergey Fomin has a 39.91% conversion rate compared to Toby Samuel's 26.98%.

Editorial Prediction (November 27, 2025, UTC):

As we examine the comparative strengths of Toby Samuel and Sergey Fomin, certain statistics stand out. Fomin slightly leads in second serve efficiency and return game effectiveness, both critical factors in match outcomes.

While Samuel has a stronger win record over the past year, particularly on Hard courts, Fomin’s higher success rate in dealing with break points and deciding sets gives him a crucial edge in pressure situations.

Fomin's greater ability to convert break opportunities, alongside his tendency to perform well on lower-ranked surfaces, suggests a strategic adaptability that could be advantageous in their upcoming face-off.

Given these factors, Sergey Fomin appears favored to win the next match, with a slight advantage rooted in his resilience under pressure and strategic play during critical points.